“Is my blood sugar going up?”
A sample, run on the app’s invented example record. No person’s data is in it; where it says “you”, it means that example.
Worked on example data: every reading behind these weights is one the app supplied, not yours. The arithmetic is real; what it says about you is nothing yet.
Viewing it sends nothing anywhere: the sample is framed by the labelled stand-in (no model is called), and its literature searches and the analysts’ review are not run.
Needs youGlucose and HbA1c · 3 steps taken by itself · run Oct 12, 2026
"No real change — the markers are moving within their normal variation" leads at 0.85 of the evidence weight.
One explanation remains plausible. The step that would reduce the uncertainty most is "Repeat HbA1c and fasting glucose in about three months" (0.19 bits).
How it read the question: Blood sugar is read as fasting glucose and HbA1c from your lab panels. HbA1c is roughly a three-month average and moves slowly; a single glucose draw moves much more from day to day.
The explanations in competition
A share of the evidence weight among the explanations listed — not a probability. The likelihoods behind it are the pack's declared expectations, not calibrated against outcomes. The tick on each bar is where it started; they all started level.
- 0.85
No real change — the markers are moving within their normal variationStrengthened
Its share rose from 0.30 to 0.85.
What bears on it (2)
For it
- HbA1c 5.7 → 5.8 (+1.8%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +1.8% is within expected variation for HbA1c (RCV 5.9%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- Fasting Glucose 101 → 104 (+3%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +3% is within expected variation for Fasting glucose (RCV 17.4%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- 0.06
Blood sugar is drifting upWeakened
Its share fell from 0.30 to 0.06 — on readings that are not yours, so it cannot be ruled out.
What bears on it (3)
For it
- HbA1c 5.8 % on 2026-07-11 — above its range (under 5.7). Its within-person variation is 1.9%, so a repeat could land on the other side of the line. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample datacounted weak
Against it
- HbA1c 5.7 → 5.8 (+1.8%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +1.8% is within expected variation for HbA1c (RCV 5.9%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- Fasting Glucose 101 → 104 (+3%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +3% is within expected variation for Fasting glucose (RCV 17.4%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- 0.03
Blood sugar is coming downWeakened
Its share fell from 0.30 to 0.03 — on readings that are not yours, so it cannot be ruled out.
What bears on it (2)
Against it
- HbA1c 5.7 → 5.8 (+1.8%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +1.8% is within expected variation for HbA1c (RCV 5.9%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- Fasting Glucose 101 → 104 (+3%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +3% is within expected variation for Fasting glucose (RCV 17.4%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.measuredexample data
- 0.06
Something not on this listIn play
The evidence so far has not moved it far from where it started. · structural
What it checked by itself
Read-only work on the record — the only kind it does without anyone.
HbA1c level→ high
HbA1c 5.8 % on 2026-07-11 — above its range (under 5.7). Its within-person variation is 1.9%, so a repeat could land on the other side of the line. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.
Existing recordmeasuredexample data
Fasting glucose between the last two draws→ within-variation
Fasting Glucose 101 → 104 (+3%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +3% is within expected variation for Fasting glucose (RCV 17.4%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.
Re-analysismeasuredexample data
HbA1c between the last two draws→ within-variation
HbA1c 5.7 → 5.8 (+1.8%, 2026-05-13 to 2026-07-11) — +1.8% is within expected variation for HbA1c (RCV 5.9%) — the same person measured twice moves this much doing nothing. Not a trend in either direction. These are example readings the app supplied — the arithmetic is real and the readings are not yours.
Re-analysismeasuredexample data
What is still uncertain
One explanation remains plausible. The step that would reduce the uncertainty most is "Repeat HbA1c and fasting glucose in about three months" (0.19 bits).
Where it stopped, and who it needs
It never places an order, files bench work or starts a trial. On a real record, each of these waits for the person.
Repeat HbA1c and fasting glucose in about three monthsRequires you, and a lab-order consent you issue
HbA1c reflects roughly the last three months, so an earlier repeat says little. Fast 8–12 hours before the glucose draw.
- Mock Labs (sandbox) — Metabolic panel: Mock Labs (sandbox) carries Fasting Glucose and HbA1c ($39), but it is a sandbox: its values are generated, not measured, and would not count here.
- A clinician you share with: No clinician has accepted your sharing yet — Sharing is where you invite one.
Proposed, and unable to run here
- Two weeks of continuous glucose · packno declared check reads its result, so it cannot move a weight free, a result in 14 days, asks a little of you (feasibility 0.44) worn, logged, or a habit changed, no risk (safety 0.67) Cannot run here. Nothing on this build records interstitial glucose — no continuous source connects, and none can be imported.
What this cannot establish
- A diagnosis. Whether values meet a diagnostic threshold is a clinician's call, on confirmed repeat testing.
- Cause. Two draws say whether a marker moved, not why.